Kieran Wilkin Son Dev

Archive for the ‘Business Letter’ Category

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An independent investment banking and brokerage firm, John Thomas Financial situated in the New York City, has released a detailed analysis on the economic slowdown in Greece given by its Chief Economist Mr. Mike Norman.

In-depth Analysis

At present, most countries around the world are wondering whether Greece will be able to payback its debts or not. Meanwhile, the Greek Government has been continuously abiding to the conditions that have been laid down by The IMF, ECB and the European Union. Therefore, till the time the Greek government reaffirms its intentions to further follow the austerity measures and the people of this country permit the present Government to stay in power, the chances of a default is very low.

Germany on the other hand sees no harm if the ECB continues to fund Greece through bond purchases. Therefore a lot depends on the Germans when it comes to saving Greece from a major default. 50% of the German Population does not want Greece to default as per the results of a recent poll conducted in Germany. In addition to this, if Greece does not default it will benefit the German exporters as their export markets will get Quasi-Governmental protection.

Moreover, the bond purchases made by the ECB will not lead to inflation in Greece as its government is taking a number of austerity measures. These measures dampen demand, which results in low price pressures. They also help in keeping the Euro strong. This is a course of action, which is rational in nature and it all depends on how effectively the Greek government implements the austerity measures in its own country.

If the present Greek Government is removed from power, the country is bound to default and this will adversely affect the global financial markets. Whenever a country is hit by recession the government, the central bank and the policymakers have to take careful measures to keep the economy functioning in a stable manner.

Coming to the United States of America, if a situation arises where the US institutions will be required to raise capital due to losses incurred through European exposure, the policy makers of this country will think twice before arriving at a proper conclusion. This decision has to be taken carefully as it could lead to drastic fall in the share prices.

Finally, Mr. Mike Norman predicts that Greece at the most will default by 20%. However it depends largely on the rational decisions taken by the government and the people of the country.

John Thomas Financial

This financial services company focuses entirely on client needs and aims to give timely and qualitative services in the areas of private wealth management, retail brokerage etc. John Thomas Financial also publishes a number of dailies and reports that talk about the various happenings in the world of global financial markets.